Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 東門艾客米DTR Store Championship
decks
3
(11.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
12-5-2
overall winrate
68.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.1%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
56.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1374
· median 1389
· range 1196–1536
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1219
Q3 1392
1539
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.5% | +11.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 53.7% | +2.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.3% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.5% | +9.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
